Poisson Traffic Clumps and Spatial Gaps

Cars pass a fixed point on a long highway according to a Poisson process with rate λ\lambda (cars per unit time). Define a clump as a maximal consecutive run of cars whose inter-arrival times are all at most TT; a new clump starts immediately after an inter-arrival time exceeding TT. (a) What is the distribution of the spatial gap between successive clumps if each car travels at constant speed vv (so time gaps map to space gaps)? (b) Using the Poisson clumping heuristic, approximate the expected number of clumps per mile.

A

GG is uniform on [0,vT][0,vT], and the expected clumps per mile are about 1/(vT)1/(vT).

B

G∼Exp⁡(λe−λT/v)G \sim \operatorname{Exp}(\lambda e^{-\lambda T}/v), and the expected clumps per mile are about λe−λT/v\lambda e^{-\lambda T}/v.

C

G∼Exp⁡(λ/v)G \sim \operatorname{Exp}(\lambda/v), and the expected clumps per mile are about λ/v\lambda/v.

D

G∼Exp⁡(e−λT/v)G \sim \operatorname{Exp}(e^{-\lambda T}/v), and the expected clumps per mile are about e−λT/ve^{-\lambda T}/v.